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prof.h.c. doc. Ing. Natália Turčeková, PhD.
Identification number: 1651
University e-mail: natalia.turcekova [at]
associate professor CSc./PhD. - Department of Economics (FEM)
dekanát - centrum - Faculty of Economics and Management
Vice-dean - Faculty of Economics and Management

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Basic information

Basic information about a final thesis

Type of thesis: Diploma thesis
Thesis title:Structural Breaks and Long-Run Trends in Commoddity Prices
Written by (author): Ing. Stanislava Lenčéšová
Department: Department of Economics (FEM)
Thesis supervisor: prof.h.c. doc. Ing. Natália Turčeková, PhD.
Opponent:Ing. Zuzana Kapustová, PhD.
Final thesis progress:Final thesis was successfully defended.

Additional information

Additional information about the final thesis follows. Click on the language link to display the information in the desired language.

Language of final thesis:English

Slovak        English

Title of the thesis:Structural Breaks and Long-Run Trends in Commoddity Prices
Summary:In this diploma thesis we analyzed the possible impact of real interest rate development on the price development of the selected commodities and to find out how big this impact is. In order to come to this information we had to solve some partial objectives first which helped us to reach our goal. The thesis is divided into five main sections. The first part contains the theoretical background on the studied problematics and the second part is devoted to the introduction of thesis's objective and partial objectives. The third part deals with the methodology of the thesis and methods of research where we introduced the characteristics and objectives of time-series analysis and multiple regression/correlation analysis and the interpretation of its outputs. The fourth part contains reached results and discussions on the elaborated topic. Here we characterized selected commodities and performed the regression analysis on each commodity. The last part contains the conclusion of the thesis where we summarized the obtained results and expressed agreement or disagreement with the results of other authors, made statements about the past development of the prices of analyzed commodities and whether they correlate with the development of the real interest tare and we made assumptions about the future development of the prices based on the trend lines.
Key words:real interest rate, commodity, long-run trend, price, regression analysis, time-series analysis

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